The Mexican Monsoon, Tropical Wave No. 13, low-pressure troughs, the proximity of a frontal system, an upper trough, and divergence at height will contribute to significant weather events across Mexico. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected over much of the national territory, particularly in the northeast, west, center, and east of the country. Strong to very strong winds, with possible whirlwinds or tornadoes, are forecast in Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas. These conditions may lead to increased river and stream levels, landslides, puddles, and flooding in low-lying areas.
Detailed Forecast:
Northwest Mexico:
- The Mexican monsoon will bring showers and heavy rains with electrical discharges, gusts of wind, and possible hail.
- Very strong to intense rains are expected in Durango.
- Showers are anticipated in the Baja California peninsula.
- Strong to very strong winds with potential whirlwinds or tornadoes in Sonora and Chihuahua.
Northeast Mexico:
- A low-pressure channel combined with divergence at height and an upper trough will produce heavy to very heavy rains with electrical discharges and possible hail.
- Intense rainfall is expected in Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, and Zacatecas.
- Strong to very strong winds with possible whirlwinds or tornadoes in Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas.
- Waterspouts may occur along the coasts of Tamaulipas.
Central, East, and West Mexico:
- Tropical Wave No. 13 will interact with a low-pressure channel, leading to heavy to very heavy rains with electrical discharges, gusts of wind, and possible hail.
- Intense rainfall is forecast in Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, and the State of Mexico.
Southeast Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula:
- Another low-pressure channel combined with moisture from both coasts will cause showers and heavy rains.
- Very heavy rainfall is expected in Chiapas.
Tropical Activity:
- Tropical Wave No. 12, associated with a low-pressure zone with a high probability of cyclonic development, is located southwest of the Baja California Peninsula. It is expected to intensify into a possible tropical cyclone but is currently not affecting the country.
Temperature Outlook:
- Hot to very hot weather will continue in the northwest, north, and northeast of Mexico, as well as the Yucatan Peninsula.
- Temperatures above 40°C are anticipated in areas of Baja California and Sonora.
Specific Weather Effects for Wednesday, 24 July:
- Very heavy rains with intense points (75 to 150 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Durango, Zacatecas, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, and the State of Mexico.
- Heavy rains with very heavy rains (50 to 75 mm): Coahuila, Nuevo León, Aguascalientes, Hidalgo, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla, Veracruz, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas.
- Intervals of showers with heavy rain (25 to 50 mm): Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Tlaxcala, and Tabasco.
- Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Baja California Sur, Sonora, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo.
- Isolated showers (0.1 to 5 mm): Baja California.
Wind Forecast:
- Gusts of 50 to 70 km/h with possible whirlwinds or tornadoes: Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas; with waterspouts on the coasts of Tamaulipas.
- Gusts of 40 to 60 km/h: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Veracruz, Tabasco, Chiapas, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, and the coasts of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima.
Temperature Forecast:
- Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45°C: Baja California and Sonora.
- Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40°C: Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo.
- Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35°C: Chihuahua, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, and Tabasco.
Important Notes:
- Forecast rains may be accompanied by electrical discharges, gusts of wind, and possible hail.
- Rains may cause an increase in river and stream levels, landslides, puddles, and flooding in low-lying areas.
Stay informed and take necessary precautions to ensure safety during these weather conditions.