Mexico weather today brings heavy rains, thunderstorms and hail in Oaxaca, Chiapas, Guerrero and Veracruz, heat waves across multiple states and gusts up to 70 km/h, raising flood and wildfire risks.
Mexico’s meteorological service issued a broad weather alert for May 24, 2025, as a conjunction of low-pressure channels, atmospheric instability and tropical moisture sets the stage for widespread showers, heavy rains and thunderstorms across much of the country. From the Valley of Mexico to the Yucatán Peninsula, residents should brace for downpours, possible hail and gusty winds. At the same time, heat waves are driving daytime highs into the 40°C range in several states, raising concerns about wildfires and heat-related health risks.
The stormy outlook stems from two low-pressure channels—one over the northern plateau, the other over the southeastern highlands—pumping moisture inland from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea. A dry line stretching across northern Mexico will usher in 50–70 km/h gusts, with whirlwinds possible in Chihuahua and Coahuila. By afternoon, a tropical wave will edge into the southern Yucatán Peninsula, adding another kick of moisture and instability.
Rainfall will vary in intensity by region:
- Very heavy to intense rains (75–150 mm): Oaxaca and Chiapas
- Heavy rains (50–75 mm): Guerrero and Veracruz
- Showers with heavy rainfall (25–50 mm): Coahuila, Jalisco, Michoacán, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Morelos, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Tabasco
- Intervals of showers (5–25 mm): Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas, Durango, Aguascalientes, Colima, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Mexico City
- Isolated showers (0.1–5 mm): Chihuahua, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo
Forecasters warn that accumulated rain could trigger ponding, flash flooding, landslides and swollen rivers. Urban areas may experience disrupted traffic and localized flooding, while mountain roads risk mudslides.
Across the same regions, gusty winds raise two threats: scattered trees and billboards could topple, and intense dry spells in wind-blown areas may spark wildfires. Strong northerly gusts in Baja California, Sonora, Sinaloa, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Querétaro, Guanajuato, Hidalgo, Puebla, Yucatán and Quintana Roo may fan any existing brush fires, complicating containment efforts.
Meanwhile, a heat wave will bake much of the country. Afternoon highs will hit 40–45 °C in Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Sinaloa, Durango, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Campeche and Yucatán. Another set of states—from Baja California to Tabasco—can expect 35–40 °C, while Guanajuato and Aguascalientes linger at 30–35 °C. The heat wave ends today in Zacatecas, Morelos and Puebla, but persists elsewhere into the weekend.
On the coasts, wind and wave activity will complicate marine operations. In northern Mexico, Chihuahua and Coahuila face 20–30 km/h winds gusting to 70 km/h, with whirlwinds possible. Along the Gulf, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas will see southerly gusts up to 70 km/h; Veracruz up to 50 km/h. The southern Gulf states and Yucatán Peninsula will endure 40–60 km/h gusts. Offshore, waves will reach 2.0–3.0 m along the western Baja California Peninsula and the coasts of Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas.
Regional outlooks
- Valley of Mexico: Mexico City wakes to cloudy skies with morning fog banks and scattered showers. Expect a mild 14–16 °C pre-dawn low, warming to 25–27 °C by afternoon with heavy showers, lightning and possible hail. Toluca will range from 9–11 °C to 23–25 °C. Variable winds at 10–20 km/h will gust to 60 km/h.
- Baja California Peninsula: Morning fog hugs the Pacific coast. No rain is forecast, but mountain areas will feel cool. Afternoon highs climb into the 30s, with northeastern Baja California nearing 40 °C. Westerly gusts to 60 km/h may kick up dust. Seas swell to 2–3 m on the Pacific side.
- Pacific Coast: The North Pacific corridor stays dry and partly cloudy, aside from dust-storm risk in Sonora and Sinaloa under 40–60 km/h gusts. Further south, Jalisco and Michoacán brace for heavy rain and landslide danger, while a heat wave bakes Nayarit, Colima and coastal Michoacán. Coastal gusts hit 60 km/h.
- Southern Sierra: Chiapas and Oaxaca face heavy to very heavy rainfall, lightning and hail. Mountain fog this morning gives way to 85–95 °F (29–35 °C) afternoons under gusty 60 km/h winds. Landslides and flooding remain top concerns.
- Gulf Lowlands: Veracruz and Tabasco record very heavy to heavy rains with flood and landslide alerts. Mountainous sections of Veracruz may see morning fog and cold pockets. Afternoon highs top out near 40 °C, driven by gusts of 50–70 km/h.
- Yucatán Peninsula: Scattered showers and lightning chance under partly cloudy skies. Morning lows ease near 22 °C; afternoons reach 38 °C amid gusts to 60 km/h. A tropical wave’s approach may boost rain chances tonight.
- Northeastern Tablelands & Central Plateau: Coahuila’s heavy downpours risk flooding, while neighboring Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas and Durango see periodic showers and dust-storm threats. Afternoon highs hover around 38–42 °C under gusts to 70 km/h. In Puebla, Morelos, Hidalgo and Tlaxcala, expect heavy showers with flood and landslide warnings, and highs near 30–35 °C as the heat wave fades.
In the past 24 hours, stations recorded up to 70 mm in Agua Salada, Guatemala, and 52 mm in Cacahoatán, Chiapas. Temperatures peaked at 42.4 °C in Ejido Nuevo León (BC) and Choix (Sinaloa). The coolest low was 11.4 °C in Toluca.
Safety advice: Drivers should slow down in wet conditions, watch for flooded roads and falling debris. Hikers and rural travelers must heed landslide warnings. Those in heat-wave zones should stay hydrated and avoid mid-day sun. Coastal mariners must guard against high waves, and communities in wildfire-prone areas should keep fire sources contained.
Meteorologists will update forecasts as conditions evolve. Stay tuned to local alerts and official channels for the latest Mexico weather today.
